Publications

Multivariate anomaly detection for Earth observations: a comparison of algorithms and feature extraction techniques
Milan Flach and Fabian Gans and Alexander Brenning and Joachim Denzler and Markus Reichstein and Erik Rodner and Sebastian Bathiany and Paul Bodesheim and Yanira Guanche and Sebasitan Sippel and Miguel D. Mahecha.
Earth System Dynamics. 8 (3): pages 677-696. 2017.
[bibtex] [pdf] [web] [abstract]

Abstract: Today, many processes at the Earth's surface are constantly monitored by multiple data streams. These observations have become central to advancing our understanding of vegetation dynamics in response to climate or land use change. Another set of important applications is monitoring effects of extreme climatic events, other disturbances such as fires, or abrupt land transitions. One important methodological question is how to reliably detect anomalies in an automated and generic way within multivariate data streams, which typically vary seasonally and are interconnected across variables. Although many algorithms have been proposed for detecting anomalies in multivariate data, only a few have been investigated in the context of Earth system science applications. In this study, we systematically combine and compare feature extraction and anomaly detection algorithms for detecting anomalous events. Our aim is to identify suitable workflows for automatically detecting anomalous patterns in multivariate Earth system data streams. We rely on artificial data that mimic typical properties and anomalies in multivariate spatiotemporal Earth observations like sudden changes in basic characteristics of time series such as the sample mean, the variance, changes in the cycle amplitude, and trends. This artificial experiment is needed as there is no "gold standard" for the identification of anomalies in real Earth observations. Our results show that a well-chosen feature extraction step (e.g., subtracting seasonal cycles, or dimensionality reduction) is more important than the choice of a particular anomaly detection algorithm. Nevertheless, we identify three detection algorithms (k-nearest neighbors mean distance, kernel density estimation, a recurrence approach) and their combinations (ensembles) that outperform other multivariate approaches as well as univariate extreme-event detection methods. Our results therefore provide an effective workflow to automatically detect anomalies in Earth system science data.

Detecting Multivariate Biosphere Extremes
Yanira Guanche Garcia and Erik Rodner and Milan Flach and Sebastian Sippel and Miguel Mahecha and Joachim Denzler.
International Workshop on Climate Informatics (CI). Pages 9-12. 2016.
[bibtex] [web] [abstract]

Hot spots of multivariate extreme anomalies in Earth observations
Milan Flach and Sebastian Sippel and Paul Bodesheim and Alexander Brenning and Joachim Denzler and Fabian Gans and Yanira Guanche and Markus Reichstein and Erik Rodner and Miguel D. Mahecha.
American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting (AGU): Abstract + Oral Presentation. 2016.
[bibtex] [web] [abstract]

Using Statistical Process Control for detecting anomalies in multivariate spatiotemporal Earth Observations
Milan Flach and Miguel Mahecha and Fabian Gans and Erik Rodner and Paul Bodesheim and Yanira Guanche-Garcia and Alexander Brenning and Joachim Denzler and Markus Reichstein.
European Geosciences Union General Assembly (EGU): Abstract + Oral Presentation. 2016.
[bibtex] [pdf] [web] [abstract]

Abstract: The number of available Earth observations (EOs) is currently substantially increasing. Detecting anomalous pat-terns in these multivariate time series is an important step in identifying changes in the underlying dynamicalsystem. Likewise, data quality issues might result in anomalous multivariate data constellations and have to beidentified before corrupting subsequent analyses. In industrial application a common strategy is to monitor pro-duction chains with several sensors coupled to some statistical process control (SPC) algorithm. The basic ideais to raise an alarm when these sensor data depict some anomalous pattern according to the SPC, i.e. the produc-tion chain is considered 'out of control'. In fact, the industrial applications are conceptually similar to the on-linemonitoring of EOs. However, algorithms used in the context of SPC or process monitoring are rarely consideredfor supervising multivariate spatio-temporal Earth observations. The objective of this study is to exploit the poten-tial and transferability of SPC concepts to Earth system applications. We compare a range of different algorithmstypically applied by SPC systems and evaluate their capability to detect e.g. known extreme events in land sur-face processes. Specifically two main issues are addressed: (1) identifying the most suitable combination of datapre-processing and detection algorithm for a specific type of event and (2) analyzing the limits of the individual ap-proaches with respect to the magnitude, spatio-temporal size of the event as well as the data's signal to noise ratio.Extensive artificial data sets that represent the typical properties of Earth observations are used in this study. Ourresults show that the majority of the algorithms used can be considered for the detection of multivariate spatiotem-poral events and directly transferred to real Earth observation data as currently assembled in different projectsat the European scale, e.g. http://baci-h2020.eu/index.php/ and http://earthsystemdatacube.net/. Known anomaliessuch as the Russian heatwave are detected as well as anomalies which are not detectable with univariate methods.

Maximally Divergent Intervals for Anomaly Detection
Erik Rodner and Björn Barz and Yanira Guanche and Milan Flach and Miguel Mahecha and Paul Bodesheim and Markus Reichstein and Joachim Denzler.
Workshop on Anomaly Detection (ICML-WS). 2016. Best Paper Award
[bibtex] [pdf] [web] [code] [abstract]